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Independent. Africa-wide. Evidence-led.

Intelligence & Risk Analysis for Africa

Independent geopolitical, maritime, corporate security and market-entry intelligence for organisations operating across Africa and its adjacent sea lanes.

Africa-wide country researchPorts & maritime corridorsNamed sources · Evidence limits

Africa Operations Map

671 sourced records · How we process these · select a country to inspect

Full map ↗
ATLANTIC OCEANINDIAN OCEANMEDITERRANEAN SEAGulf of GuineaRed SeaGulf of AdenMozambique ChannelCape of Good HopeAngolaBurkina FasoBurundiBeninBotswanaDem. Rep. CongoCentral African Rep.CongoCôte d'IvoireCameroonDjiboutiAlgeriaEgyptW. SaharaEritreaEthiopiaGabonGhanaGambiaGuineaEq. GuineaGuinea-BissauKenyaLiberiaLesothoLibyaMoroccoMadagascarMaliMauritaniaMalawiMozambiqueNamibiaNigerNigeriaRwandaSudanSierra LeoneSenegalSomaliaSomalilandS. SudaneSwatiniChadTogoTunisiaTanzaniaUgandaSouth AfricaZambiaZimbabweAngolaBurkina FasoBurundiBeninBotswanaDem. Rep. CongoCentral African Rep.CongoCôte d'IvoireCameroonDjiboutiAlgeriaEgyptW. SaharaEritreaEthiopiaGabonGhanaGambiaGuineaEq. GuineaGuinea-BissauKenyaLiberiaLesothoLibyaMoroccoMadagascarMaliMauritaniaMalawiMozambiqueNamibiaNigerNigeriaRwandaSudanSierra LeoneSenegalSomaliaS. SudaneSwatiniChadTogoTunisiaTanzaniaUgandaSouth AfricaZambiaZimbabwePort Sudan, Sudan · SevereSuakin, Sudan · SubstantialMassawa, Eritrea · SubstantialAssab, Eritrea · SubstantialDjibouti / Doraleh, Djibouti · SubstantialBerbera, Somaliland · SubstantialBosaso, Somalia (Puntland) · SevereMogadishu, Somalia · SevereKismayo, Somalia · SevereMombasa, Kenya · ModerateLamu, Kenya · SubstantialDar es Salaam, Tanzania · ModeratePemba, Mozambique · SubstantialPort Said, Egypt · ModerateSokhna, Egypt · ModerateLagos (Apapa), Nigeria · SubstantialSafaga, Egypt · ModerateZeila, Somaliland · SubstantialTadjourah, Djibouti · ModerateObock, Djibouti · SubstantialLas Qoray, Somalia (Puntland) · SubstantialEyl, Somalia (Puntland) · SevereHobyo, Somalia · SevereGaracad, Somalia (Puntland) · SevereBarawe, Somalia · SevereTanga, Tanzania · ModerateZanzibar, Tanzania · ModerateMtwara, Tanzania · SubstantialNacala, Mozambique · ModerateBeira, Mozambique · ModerateMaputo, Mozambique · ModerateToamasina, Madagascar · SubstantialPort Louis, Mauritius · LowPort Victoria, Seychelles · LowMoroni, Comoros · ModerateDurban, South Africa · SubstantialRichards Bay, South Africa · ModerateNgqura / Port Elizabeth, South Africa · ModerateCape Town, South Africa · ModerateWalvis Bay, Namibia · LowLuanda, Angola · ModerateLobito, Angola · ModeratePointe-Noire, Congo · ModerateMatadi, DR Congo · ModeratePort-Gentil, Gabon · ModerateMalabo, Equatorial Guinea · SubstantialDouala, Cameroon · SubstantialOnne / Port Harcourt, Nigeria · SevereBonny, Nigeria · SevereLekki Deep Sea, Nigeria · SubstantialCotonou, Benin · SubstantialLomé, Togo · SubstantialTema, Ghana · ModerateTakoradi, Ghana · ModerateAbidjan, Côte d'Ivoire · ModerateSan Pedro, Côte d'Ivoire · LowMonrovia, Liberia · ModerateFreetown, Sierra Leone · ModerateConakry, Guinea · SubstantialBissau, Guinea-Bissau · SubstantialBanjul, Gambia · LowDakar, Senegal · ModerateNouakchott, Mauritania · ModeratePraia, Cabo Verde · LowTanger Med, Morocco · LowCasablanca, Morocco · LowAlgiers, Algeria · LowTunis / Radès, Tunisia · ModerateSfax, Tunisia · SubstantialTripoli, Libya · SevereMisrata, Libya · SubstantialBenghazi, Libya · SubstantialAlexandria, Egypt · ModerateDamietta, Egypt · Moderate1985282412215645444212373221122131111212211
671 Published Records · Grouped by Country74 Major Ports Shown · Zoom 100%
North AfricaWest AfricaSahelCentral AfricaEast AfricaHorn of AfricaGreat LakesSouthern AfricaIndian Ocean
Information → Verification
Intelligence → Risk
Early Warning → Understanding

Priority country watchlist

Critical countries and standing priorities, assessed from named public sources.

What you receive

What you get in every assessment

Mazin IntelCommon practice
SourcesEvery finding names its public source and links to itSources often summarised or withheld
UncertaintyGaps and limits of the evidence stated plainly in each assessmentCertainty often implied
CoverageAll 54 African countries plus Red Sea and Gulf of Aden corridorsOften limited to a few priority markets
Evidence statusConfirmed, Reported, Assessed and Scenario kept separateFacts and opinion frequently mixed
IndependenceNo ties to insurers, brokers or governmentsVaries by provider
GapsUnrated areas stay unrated rather than guessedGaps rarely disclosed

"Common practice" describes general patterns in the risk market, not any named provider.

Ways to engage

Three ways to work with Mazin Intel

Full service catalogue
01Focused assessment

Single Risk Briefing

£495–£950

Single-issue risk analysis or country threat assessment for a specific transit lane, port entry, or market deployment.

03Scoped engagement

Strategic Advisory

Bespoke quotation

Bespoke market entry strategy, deep-dive corporate due diligence, and dedicated analyst project mapping.

Contact Lead Analyst

Indicative fees; final fees depend on scope and are confirmed in a written proposal.

Readership

Who we support

Corporate Security

Security and risk teams assessing personnel and operational exposure.

Maritime & Shipping

Operators assessing port, route and maritime security conditions.

Marine Insurance

Insurers and brokers assessing security conditions relevant to marine exposure.

International Organisations

Organisations operating in complex and changing security environments.

Founder-led intelligence practice.

Africa Intelligence Centre

Latest intelligence

Recent public-source records showing date, location, category, source, evidence status, assessment and known limitations.

Open the Intelligence Centre →

Africa Security Watchlist

Priority research questions

These research topics and proposed trajectories were reviewed by the founder on 23 October 2026. They are not current country ratings or verified alerts. Countries without a proposed trajectory are marked "Baseline Monitoring": collection continues, but no rating or trajectory has been assessed.

Early Warning & Indicators →

58 locations

LocationProposed trajectoryResearch topicsReview
SomaliaDeterioratingAttack method, force posture and corridor accessReviewed
EthiopiaUnresolvedRegional armed activity, access restrictions and communicationsReviewed
EritreaUnder reviewBorder posture, mobilisation signals and third-country reportingReviewed
SudanDeterioratingFront-line movement, civilian access and infrastructure continuityReviewed
South SudanDevelopingPolitical implementation, subnational violence and corridor accessReviewed
KenyaUnresolvedCivil unrest, north-eastern spillover and corridor disruptionReviewed
DjiboutiStablePort continuity, regional basing and border conditionsReviewed
Red SeaDevelopingMaritime incident reports, naval posture and shipping decisionsReviewed
Gulf of AdenDevelopingApproach reports, piracy indicators and route choicesReviewed
East Africa & HornUnder reviewCross-border displacement, political friction and access constraintsReviewed
AlgeriaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
AngolaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
BeninBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
BotswanaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
Burkina FasoBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
BurundiBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
Cabo VerdeBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
CameroonDeterioratingArmed groups, kidnapping and political violence (10 reports)Reviewed
Central African RepublicBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
ChadBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
ComorosBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
CongoBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
Côte d'IvoireBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
DR CongoDevelopingDisplacement, humanitarian security and early-warning reporting (11 reports)Reviewed
EgyptDevelopingPolitical violence, maritime and humanitarian security (11 reports)Reviewed
Equatorial GuineaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
EswatiniBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
GabonBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
GambiaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
GhanaDevelopingOrganised crime, border security and civil unrest; reporting rising (71 reports)Reviewed
GuineaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
Guinea-BissauBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
LesothoBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
LiberiaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
LibyaUnder reviewPolitical violence and armed groups; reporting has fallen (18 reports)Reviewed
MadagascarBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
MalawiBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
MaliUnresolvedPolitical violence, kidnapping and regional security (8 reports)Reviewed
MauritaniaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
MauritiusDevelopingOrganised crime, maritime and civil unrest reporting (12 reports)Reviewed
MoroccoDevelopingCritical infrastructure, cyber and civil unrest reporting (8 reports)Reviewed
MozambiqueDevelopingArmed groups, humanitarian access and civil unrest (12 reports)Reviewed
NamibiaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
NigerUnder reviewArmed groups, kidnapping and military activity; reporting has fallen (107 reports)Reviewed
NigeriaDeterioratingKidnapping, armed groups and civil unrest (447 sourced reports, 90 days)Reviewed
RwandaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
Sao Tome and PrincipeBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
SenegalDeterioratingCivil unrest and kidnapping reporting (8 reports)Reviewed
SeychellesBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
Sierra LeoneBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
South AfricaDevelopingCrime, kidnapping and civil unrest; reporting rising (53 reports)Reviewed
TanzaniaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
TogoBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
TunisiaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
UgandaDevelopingCivil unrest, corridor security and armed groups; reporting rising (28 reports)Reviewed
Western SaharaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
ZambiaBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed
ZimbabweBaseline MonitoringContinuous public-source monitoring.Reviewed

Linked workspaces contain public-source records. Review of these research topics and proposed trajectories does not establish a current country rating, verify every linked record or imply a low-risk condition.

The Mazin Intel Method

Identify what matters, verify it, explain why it matters

Independent commercial intelligence across all 54 African countries and adjacent maritime corridors, built on dated reporting, named sources and explicit evidence limits. Assessments distinguish between reported information, verified information and analytical judgement. Evidence limitations are recorded, and certainty is never implied where evidence is limited.

Read the methodology
Confirmed

Supported by authoritative or multiple independent sources.

Reported

Credible reporting exists but independent confirmation is limited.

Assessed

An analytical judgement based on available evidence.

Scenario

A plausible future development rather than a confirmed event.

Sample deliverable · free to download

An example of how exposure is assessed in this research

Download a redacted sample country threat assessment — logistics and movement security at the Port of Berbera and along the Berbera corridor. It shows the structure, sourcing discipline and decision framework behind every Mazin Intel deliverable: what changed, where the exposure sits, what to watch and what to do about it.

  • Six-part decision framework, boardroom format
  • UK threat-level terminology throughout
  • Exposure mapped to movement, cargo and personnel
  • Client-attributable detail and thresholds redacted
Page 1 · Summary
Page 3 · Assessment
Page 5 · Actions

Free to download

Berbera sample threat assessment

Open to everyone, no sign-up needed. Client-attributable detail and thresholds are redacted.

Read it online
Trust & Standards

How we work, and how you can check it

Our standards are written down rather than asserted: methodology, sourcing and analyst accountability are all open to inspection before you commission work.

  • Open-source methodology published

    Collection layers, source reliability ratings and confidence scoring are documented on the Methodology page.

  • Source attribution on every record

    Each item carries publisher, original link, collection layer and a data-as-of timestamp.

  • Client confidentiality

    Assessment inputs are scored in your browser; readiness reports are generated locally.

  • Analyst accountability

    Assessments are attributable to a named analyst, with judgement separated from reporting.

  • Africa and adjacent maritime corridors

    Records outside African countries and their adjacent maritime corridors are filtered out of the intelligence pipeline.

  • Correction on request

    Any record can be contested; corrections and retractions are logged against the original entry.

Corporate due diligence — company registration, professional memberships, information security posture, insurance cover — is provided directly to prospective clients and procurement teams on request as part of the contracting pack.

Mazin Intel

Independent African security & maritime intelligence

Original analysis is distinguished from source reporting. Publication alone does not establish analyst review. Founder review is shown only where it has been recorded.

For shipowners, insurers and risk teams

Need a decision-ready briefing on this risk?

Country, port and voyage briefings with named sources, stated confidence and clear evidence limits.